You’re Trumped Ace
The assumption persists that Donald Trump’s
antics are forcing the mainstream contenders to denounce his know-nothing
nativism and move to the center. I wonder if this theory holds up. A great many
people in this country really do believe that illegal immigration or even legal
immigration is the basic cause of our economic and social problems, and nobody
is going to become the Republican nominee without at least dog whistling
agreement with them. Rather than jumping the shark, what Trump has done is open
the Overton window on political hate speech yet further. In contrast to Trump’s
extremism, formerly taboo positions on immigration now sound moderate, just as
Walker and Jeb Bush’s economic programs are represented as centrist because
they aren’t as spittle flecked at some of the others. Of course any candidate
who is in it to win the general election as well as the nomination has to be
concerned about alienating the electorate in the process of mollifying the
base, but Americans have lousy memories and the talking heads who do their
thinking for them won’t remind them in October what was said in February, let
ago the previous summer.
There is also an assumption behind the
assumption, namely the belief that economic conservatives only support
cultural—i.e., racial—politics for cynical reasons. I don’t doubt that old
school Tories look down on populist reactionaries, but that doesn’t mean they
don’t sympathize with their prejudices as well as their economics. Jeb Bush is
avowedly a fan of Charles Murray, though he is careful not to mention the Bell
Curve in his endorsement of Murray’s soft authoritarianism. The neoliberals in
these parts (California) are famously misogynist—the computer nerds drove women
out of programming—and they have a withering disdain for anybody who doesn’t share
their geeky Randian world view. Anders Breivik, the world class Norwegian mass
murderer, was a libertarian entrepreneur before he decided that the
multi-cultural types must be slaughtered for their betrayal of Western
Civilization. Of course Breivik’s one successful business venture was an outfit
that sold phony college diplomas, but an affinity for fraud is another overlap
between the Tea Party right with its gold schemes and miracle diabetes cures
and the Silicon Valley hackers and would-be billionaires.
In any case, the difference between the
supposedly reasonable Republicans and the nuts is that the former think you
should moderate your public rhetoric while the latter revel in outraging the
sentiments of the effete liberals. Lindsey Graham got credit for speaking out
against Trump, but he doesn’t disagree with Trump on substance, just language.
So long as a huge proportion of the electorate thinks of the American identity
as a matter of blood and language, Republican politicians will appeal to their
sentiments one way or another, just as they’ll go on supporting revived Jim
Crow laws and disrespecting an African American president even thought they’d
never dream of using the N-word. I
expect the party will attempt to split the difference at their convention,
nominating Jeb while letting the Duck Dynasty types turn the event into a white
trash support group, though perhaps not during prime time.
Are Republican politicians sincere racists or
are they just opportunists? The same kind of question comes up again and again.
Do they Republicans doubt that the climate is warming or does it just pay
better to support the fossil fuel industry? Do Republicans actually believe
that destroying the unions, keeping he minimum wage low, and lowering the tax
rate on the wealthiest people will lead to less economic inequality or are they
simply in favor of economic inequality. I’m not sure it matters in politics,
but you can’t help but wonder.